Senators in both parties are privately preparing for a possible 50-50 Senate after the midterms. Vice President JD Vance would cast tie-breaking votes, keeping Republicans in control of the floor.
4 net seats is what Democrats need to win a Senate majority.
2001 and 2021 deals split committee seats, budgets and staff evenly.
10% of the winner's total is Texas's threshold to request a recount.
4 states could delay results: Alaska, Maine, Kansas and Texas.
Why it matters: A tie would require a new power-sharing deal. Former Democratic leader Tom Daschle predicted President Donald Trump would press Republicans not to give ground.
A GOP aide would not commit to repeating the 2021 agreement.
Sen. John Fetterman of Pennsylvania could hold outsize sway in a close chamber.
Trump said he ordered a Justice Department suit over Alaska's results.
The story so far
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Oct 7–27
Senate Control Could Hang in Limbo for WeeksYou are here
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Political Bias
Coverage by lean% of 69 sources
69 sources · 140 articles · 41% Left coverage
Where they split: Coverage divides over whether the main risk to a close Senate result comes from Trump-aligned challenges to certification or from Democratic tactics such as backing third-party and look-alike candidates.
Center coverage, 22 sources: The center focuses on mechanics: slow counts, recount rules, power-sharing precedents and a crowded year-end agenda.
Left coverage, 28 sources: The left sees a close Senate result as an opening for Trump allies and the Justice Department to contest or delay certification.
Right coverage, 19 sources: The right highlights Democratic-backed spoiler efforts, including the Alaska Sullivan candidacy and super PAC spending on Libertarians.
What’s next: Alaska's ranked-choice count and mail ballots have taken weeks to finalize in past elections. Maine could also go to ranked-choice rounds.
Sen. Bernie Moreno wants senators to work through the holidays if Republicans lose both chambers.
Congress must fund the government past Dec. 11.
Would Fetterman or Sen. Lisa Murkowski change party affiliation in a 50-50 Senate?
Will courts allow the Justice Department's Alaska lawsuit to proceed?