Trump Says Iran War Won't End Until After Midterm Elections

President Trump told reporters Wednesday that oil prices driven up by the Iran war will not come down until after the November midterms. He predicted Iran will seek an end to the conflict immediately after the vote.

• Brent crude topped $100 a barrel for the first time since July.
• $4.22 was the average gallon price overnight, up more than a dollar year-over-year.
• $5.94 per gallon: diesel hit a record and kept climbing through Tuesday.
• The conflict is now in its seventh month; Trump initially promised weeks.

Why it matters: Rising fuel costs have become a central economic pressure point ahead of the midterms. Diesel prices affect shipping and production, amplifying costs across the economy.

• Houthi attacks ignited fires at oil facilities in Saudi Arabia, adding to supply disruption.
• Jet fuel costs have pushed U.S. and international carriers to cut flights and raise fares.

How 40 sources split on this story

Where they split: The dispute is whether Trump's prediction that the war ends right after the election is a credible assessment or a political deflection of economic pain.

What’s next: Trump said he is not looking to reopen negotiations with Iran before the election.

• Iran fired 20 ballistic missiles at Al-Azraq air base in Jordan on Sept. 8; 18 were intercepted.
• The U.S. military struck 10 Iranian oil tankers over the past week in retaliation for missile attacks.
• Whether Iran's leadership is actually near collapse or can sustain the conflict past November.
• How much further fuel prices will rise if Strait of Hormuz disruptions continue.
• Whether Republican midterm prospects shift if gas prices remain above $4 through Election Day.